The incidence of interstitial lung disease in patients with systemic sclerosis: rate, risk factors and prognostic implications in a EUSTAR cohort analysis (CP 133)


Por: Petelytska, L, Tofani, L, Velauthapillai, A, Dobrota, R, Becker, MO, Mihai, C, Muraru, S, Elhai, M, Jordan, S, Hachulla, E, Müller-Ladner, U, Siegert, E, Allanore, Y, Riemekasten, G, Bergmann, C, Becvar, R, Solanki, K, Anic, B, Szabo, I, Stamenkovic, B, Distler, J, Carreira, PE, Cuomo, G, Castellví, I, Balbir-Gurman, A, Airo, P, Litinsky, I, Saketkoo, LA, Bertaccini, B, Vonk, M, de Vries-Bouwstra, J, Hoffmann-Vold, AM, Matucci-Cerinic, M, Distler, O, Bruni, C

Publicada: 1 abr 2026 Ahead of Print: 1 abr 2026
Resumen:
Objectives: Interstitial lung disease (ILD) carries significant morbidity and mortality risk in systemic sclerosis (SSc). We aimed to estimate the incidence of new-onset SSc-ILD and the associated risk factors, as well as its impact on the prognosis. Methods: Patients classified as having SSc, with the absence of ILD signs on high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) at baseline and having at least 1 follow-up visit with available HRCT data, were selected. SSc-ILD incidence was calculated as a rate per 100 person-years. Predictors of new-onset ILD and risk factors for ILD progression and mortality were chosen according to the literature and expert opinion. Risk factors for new-onset ILD, as well as its prognostic impact on ILD progression and mortality, were tested by generalised logistic estimating equation and Cox regression models, respectively. Results: Among 5331 patients with SSc with negative baseline HRCT, the incidence of new-onset ILD was 3.83 cases per 100 person-years. Notably, there was a continuous detection of new ILD onset up to 10 years from baseline. Risk factors for new-onset ILD included New York Heart Association stage >= 2, muscle weakness, high inflammatory markers, and SSc-specific autoantibodies, but not disease duration. Despite a lower risk of ILD progression compared with prevalent ILD diagnosed at baseline, incident ILD still carried an increased risk for mortality, which was almost double when compared with ILD-negative cases. Conclusions: Patients with SSc should be considered for regular screening following a negative baseline HRCT, in particular when carrying high-risk features for new ILD onset, given its incidence and prognostic implications.

Filiaciones:
Petelytska, L:
 Univ Zurich, Univ Hosp Zurich, Dept Rheumatol, Ramistr 100, CH-8006 Zurich, Switzerland

 Bogomolets Natl Med Univ, Dept Internal Med n 3, Kiev, Ukraine

Tofani, L:
 Univ Florence, Dept Stat Informat & Applicat, Florence, Italy

Velauthapillai, A:
 Radboud Univ, Dept Rheumatol, Med Ctr, Nijmegen, Netherlands

Dobrota, R:
 Univ Zurich, Univ Hosp Zurich, Dept Rheumatol, Ramistr 100, CH-8006 Zurich, Switzerland

Becker, MO:
 Univ Zurich, Univ Hosp Zurich, Dept Rheumatol, Ramistr 100, CH-8006 Zurich, Switzerland

Mihai, C:
 Univ Zurich, Univ Hosp Zurich, Dept Rheumatol, Ramistr 100, CH-8006 Zurich, Switzerland

Muraru, S:
 Univ Zurich, Univ Hosp Zurich, Dept Rheumatol, Ramistr 100, CH-8006 Zurich, Switzerland

Elhai, M:
 Univ Zurich, Univ Hosp Zurich, Dept Rheumatol, Ramistr 100, CH-8006 Zurich, Switzerland

Jordan, S:
 Univ Zurich, Univ Hosp Zurich, Dept Rheumatol, Ramistr 100, CH-8006 Zurich, Switzerland

Hachulla, E:
 Univ Zurich, Univ Hosp Zurich, Dept Rheumatol, Ramistr 100, CH-8006 Zurich, Switzerland

Müller-Ladner, U:
 Univ Lille, Natl Referral Ctr Rare Syst Autoimmune & Autoinfla, Dept Internal Med & Clin Immunol, Inserm, CHU Lille,U1286,INFINITE, Lille, France

 Justus Liebig Univ Giessen, Dept Internal Med & Clin Immunol, Bad Nauheim, Germany

Siegert, E:
 Univ Lille, Natl Referral Ctr Rare Syst Autoimmune & Autoinfla, Dept Internal Med & Clin Immunol, Inserm, CHU Lille,U1286,INFINITE, Lille, France

 Charite Univ Med Berlin, Dept Rheumatol & Clin Immunol, Berlin, Germany

Allanore, Y:
 Univ Paris Cite, Cochin Hosp, Dept Rheumatol, Paris, France

Riemekasten, G:
 Univ Lubeck Ratzeburger Allee, Univ Clin Schleswig Holstein, Dept Rheumatol & Clin Immunol, Lubeck, Germany

Bergmann, C:
 Friedrich Alexander Univ Erlangen Nurnberg FAU, Dept Internal Med 3, Rheumatol & Immunol, Erlangen, Germany

 Univ Hosp Erlangen, Erlangen, Germany

Becvar, R:
 Charles Univ, Inst Rheumatol, Prague, Czech Republic

 Charles Univ, Dept Rheumatol, Med Sch 1, Prague, Czech Republic

Solanki, K:
 Te Whatu Ora Hlth New Zealand Waikato, Dept Rheumatol, Hamilton, New Zealand

Anic, B:
 Univ Zagreb, Univ Hosp Ctr Zagreb, Dept Internal Med, Div Clin Immunol & Rheumatol,Sch Med, Zagreb, Croatia

Szabo, I:
 Iuliu Hatieganu Univ Med & Pharm, Dept Rheumatol, Cluj Napoca, Romania

 Cty Emergency Hosp, Dept Rheumatol, Cluj Napoca, Romania

Stamenkovic, B:
 Inst Prevent Treatment & Rehabil Rheumat & Cardiovasc Dis, Niska Banja, Serbia

Distler, J:
 Heinrich Heine Univ, Univ Hosp Dusseldorf, Clin Rheumatol, Dusseldorf, Germany

 Heine Univ, Univ Hosp Dusseldorf Heinrich, Hiller Res Ctr, Dusseldorf, Germany

Carreira, PE:
 Hosp 12 Octubre, Serv Reumatol, Madrid, Spain

Cuomo, G:
 Luigi Vanvitelli Univ Campania, Dept Precis Med, Naples, Italy

Castellví, I:
 Hosp Univ Santa Creu & St Pau, Dept Rheumatol, Barcelona, Spain

Balbir-Gurman, A:
 Technion, B Shine Rheumatol Inst, Rappaport Fac Med, Rambam Hlth Care Campus, Haifa, Israel

Airo, P:
 ASST Spedali Civili, Scleroderma UNIT, UOC Reumatol Immunol Clin, Brescia, Italy

Litinsky, I:
 Ctr Tel Aviv Sourasky, Rheumatol Inst, Tel Aviv, Israel

Saketkoo, LA:
 Tulane Univ, New Orleans, LA, USA

 Louisiana State Univ, Univ Med Ctr, Scleroderma & Sarcoidosis Patient Care & Res Ctr, Sch Med, Los Angeles, CA, USA

Bertaccini, B:
 Univ Florence, Dept Stat Informat & Applicat, Florence, Italy

Vonk, M:
 Radboud Univ, Dept Rheumatol, Med Ctr, Nijmegen, Netherlands

de Vries-Bouwstra, J:
 Leiden Univ, Med Ctr, Dept Rheumatol, Leiden, Netherlands

Hoffmann-Vold, AM:
 Univ Zurich, Univ Hosp Zurich, Dept Rheumatol, Ramistr 100, CH-8006 Zurich, Switzerland

 Oslo Univ Hosp, Dept Rheumatol, Rikshosp, Oslo, Norway

Matucci-Cerinic, M:
 IRCCS Osped San Raffaele, Unit Immunol Rheumatol Allergy & Rare Dis UnIRAR, Milan, Italy

 IRCCS Osped San Raffaele, Inflammat Fibrosis & Aging Initiat INFLAGE, Milan, Italy

 Vita Salute San Raffaele Univ, Milan, Italy

Distler, O:
 Univ Zurich, Univ Hosp Zurich, Dept Rheumatol, Ramistr 100, CH-8006 Zurich, Switzerland

Bruni, C:
 Univ Zurich, Univ Hosp Zurich, Dept Rheumatol, Ramistr 100, CH-8006 Zurich, Switzerland

 Univ Florence, Dept Expt & Clin Med, Florence, Italy
ISSN: 00034967





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Editorial
BMJ PUBLISHING GROUP, BRITISH MED ASSOC HOUSE, TAVISTOCK SQUARE, LONDON WC1H 9JR, ENGLAND, Reino Unido
Tipo de documento: Article
Volumen: 85 Número: 4
Páginas: 669-679
WOS Id: 001741468700001
ID de PubMed: 41549016
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