GRADE Guidelines 28: Use of GRADE for the assessment of evidence about prognostic factors: rating certainty in identification of groups of patients with different absolute risks


Por: Foroutan, F, Guyatt, G, Zuk, V, Vandvik, PO, Alba, AC, Mustafa, R, Vernooij, R, Arevalo-Rodriguez, I, Munn, Z, Roshanov, P, Riley, R, Schandelmaier, S, Kuijpers, T, Siemieniuk, R, Canelo-Aybar, C, Schunemann, H, Iorio, A

Publicada: 1 may 2020
Resumen:
Objective: The objective of this study was to provide guidance on the use of the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) approach to determine certainty in estimates of association between prognostic factors and future outcomes. Study Design and Setting: We developed our guidance through an iterative process that involved review of published systematic reviews and meta-analyses of prognostic factors, consultation with members, feedback, presentation, and discussion at the GRADE Working Group meetings. Results: For questions of prognosis, a body of observational evidence (potentially including patients enrolled in randomized controlled trials) begins as high certainty in the evidence. The five domains of GRADE for rating down certainty in the evidence, that is, risk of bias, imprecision, inconsistency, indirectness, and publication bias, as well as the domains for rating up, also apply to estimates of associations between prognostic factors and outcomes. One should determine if their ratings do not consider (noncontextualized) or consider (contextualized) the clinical context as this will may result in variable judgments on certainty of the evidence. Conclusions: The same principles GRADE proposed for bodies of evidence addressing treatment and overall prognosis work well in assessing individual prognostic factors, both in noncontextualized and contextualized settings. (C) 2020 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

Filiaciones:
Foroutan, F:
 McMaster Univ, Dept Hlth Res Methods Evidence & Impact, Hamilton, ON, Canada

 Toronto Gen Hosp, Ted Rogers Ctr Heart Res, Toronto, ON, Canada

Guyatt, G:
 McMaster Univ, Dept Hlth Res Methods Evidence & Impact, Hamilton, ON, Canada

Zuk, V:
 McMaster Univ, Dept Hlth Res Methods Evidence & Impact, Hamilton, ON, Canada

Vandvik, PO:
 Innlandet Hosp Trust, Dept Med, Div Gjovik, Gjovik, Norway

Alba, AC:
 Toronto Gen Hosp, Ted Rogers Ctr Heart Res, Toronto, ON, Canada

Mustafa, R:
 Univ Kansas, Dept Internal Med, Med Ctr, Kansas City, MO USA

Vernooij, R:
 Biomed Res Inst St Pau IIB St Pau, Iberoamer Cochrane Ctr, Barcelona, Spain

Arevalo-Rodriguez, I:
 Hosp Univ Ramon y Cajal, Clin Biostat Unit, IRYCIS, CIBER Epidemiol & Publ Hlth, Madrid, Spain

 Univ UTE, Fac Ciencias Salud Eugenio Espejo, Ctr Invest Salud Publ & Epidemiol Clin, Quito, Ecuador

Munn, Z:
 Univ Adelaide, Joanna Briggs Inst, Fac Hlth & Med Sci, Adelaide, SA, Australia

Roshanov, P:
 McMaster Univ, Dept Med, Hamilton, ON, Canada

Riley, R:
 Univ Birmingham, Sch Hlth & Populat Sci, Birmingham, W Midlands, England

Schandelmaier, S:
 McMaster Univ, Dept Hlth Res Methods Evidence & Impact, Hamilton, ON, Canada

Kuijpers, T:
 Dutch Coll Gen Practitioners, Dept Guideline Dev, Utrecth, Netherlands

Siemieniuk, R:
 McMaster Univ, Dept Hlth Res Methods Evidence & Impact, Hamilton, ON, Canada

Canelo-Aybar, C:
 Biomed Res Inst St Pau IIB St Pau, Iberoamer Cochrane Ctr, Barcelona, Spain

Schunemann, H:
 McMaster Univ, Dept Hlth Res Methods Evidence & Impact, Hamilton, ON, Canada

Iorio, A:
 McMaster Univ, Dept Hlth Res Methods Evidence & Impact, Hamilton, ON, Canada
ISSN: 08954356
Editorial
ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC, STE 800, 230 PARK AVE, NEW YORK, NY 10169 USA, USA
Tipo de documento: Article
Volumen: 121 Número:
Páginas: 62-70
WOS Id: 000531538200009
ID de PubMed: 31982539
imagen Green Accepted

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